Schemer: just throw a dice / what 80/20 misses / don't listen / failure p*rn / log off

just throw a dice

• I’m prone to overthinking and lose a ton of energy pondering decisions instead of just picking a path

• Nolan Bushnell (founder of Atari and Chuck E. Cheese + Steve Jobs’ early mentor) encourages people to make decisions by throwing dice to overcome analysis paralysis and move fast.

• smart way to reduce the cost of indecision when options are roughly equal

• here’s how it works

  • list 6 options

  • assign each to a face of the die (1–6)

  • roll the die

  • commit to executing that option. no second guessing.

• similarly Elon: “If two choices and neither is obviously better just pick a path and do it rather than vacilitate endlessly on the choice.”

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what 80/20 misses

source

• the 80/20 rule makes a ton of sense and is a big insight that holds true in many areas

• but what’s usually overlooked is that for most problems there are already tons of 80/20 solution

• tons of people are willing to put in 20% to build vibe code something that is 80% there

• but all the big value creation happens when you go beyond that and build something that is actually great

don’t listen

source

• the best ideas usually don’t make much sense initially and can easily be killed if you talk to too many people about them

• all the ideas that make perfect sense have been either executed perfectly already or have deep non-obvious issues

failure p*rn

source

• maybe it’s just my timeline but I see much much fewer successes shared and a lot more posts sharing problems and struggles

• there used to be a lot more optimism ~2 years ago among bootstrap founders

• also a lot of people got projects to $1k-2k relatively effortlessly. A well executed Product Hunt launch and a few tweets often got you there.

• now it seems people have a much harder time to get anything going at all

• I wish I had a solution to but right now all I can offer is encouragement that if you’re struggling right now it’s not because you’re doing something wrong but because things are hard for everyone

log off

source

• This is 100% the result of social media.

• You see too many people posting fake numbers.

• You start believing the lies.

• You start questioning everything you do.

• This is easy for everyone why is it so hard for me? What am I doing wrong?

• Then you become paralyzed.

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That’s it for this week!

Talk soon,
Jakob